Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 11.381904 13.276013 15.339419 17.747917 20.475468 23.461776 26.971910
2025-11-23 7.797738 10.275712 13.258450 17.082686 21.821922 27.466295 34.657600
2025-11-30 6.242096 9.051402 12.703496 17.728013 24.379236 32.791513 44.130360
2025-12-07 5.214841 8.200968 12.341176 18.376115 26.799583 37.970642 53.701012
2025-12-14 4.178388 7.095857 11.392058 17.995816 27.664982 41.040306 60.611325
2025-12-21 3.365515 6.147305 10.481556 17.477733 28.175819 43.543331 66.805335
2025-12-28 3.020364 5.865116 10.510373 18.315058 30.675467 48.973978 77.425968
2026-01-04 2.693130 5.547407 10.421611 18.925907 32.841360 54.022099 87.773291
2026-01-11 2.327336 5.091193 10.029308 18.975605 34.093445 57.737191 96.319446
2026-01-18 2.019094 4.683705 9.656920 18.996083 35.264609 61.361420 104.896066
2026-01-25 1.700549 4.194269 9.063671 18.549773 35.590075 63.628936 111.441480
2026-02-01 1.455586 3.809151 8.607756 18.285755 36.177567 66.319627 118.767665
2026-02-08 1.216152 3.403822 8.085819 17.898748 36.621034 68.981174 126.531083
2026-02-15 0.979258 2.952883 7.407252 17.139216 36.343131 70.448782 132.509881
2026-02-22 0.888995 2.840299 7.427460 17.770080 38.700991 76.631355 146.831129
2026-03-01 0.810435 2.739535 7.456488 18.416528 41.133956 83.090573 161.982157
2026-03-08 0.678978 2.460055 7.028606 18.034991 41.508275 85.845291 170.781184
2026-03-15 0.561747 2.187580 6.568048 17.515845 41.542195 87.950223 178.509013
2026-03-22 0.526337 2.156658 6.702413 18.354721 44.432966 95.575744 196.626383
2026-03-29 0.483869 2.091860 6.738754 18.966705 46.889640 102.507389 213.803946
2026-04-05 0.424089 1.951192 6.549626 19.016495 48.139503 107.168138 226.978201
2026-04-12 0.371200 1.818513 6.359107 19.037011 49.319433 111.748492 240.213591
2026-04-19 0.311373 1.638980 6.001526 18.589871 49.409256 114.143915 249.374905